question?: May I ask for your formula for the probability that a card is in hand?

[ttowncompiled]

I have also calculated this probability and I think that our results differ. I'm curious to see what your formula is, if I may.

And also, do you take into consideration the changes that occur over time such as cards being played from hand and cards being pulled from the deck by effects such as Mad Scientist?

[Eldenroot]

I am interested too 👍

[azeier]

var holdingNextTurn = Math.Round(100.0f * Helper.DrawProbability(1, (cardsLeftInDeck + handWithoutCoin), handWithoutCoin + 1), 1);

public static double DrawProbability(int copies, int deck, int draw)
{
    return 1 - (BinomialCoefficient(deck - copies, draw) / BinomialCoefficient(deck, draw));
}

public static double BinomialCoefficient(int n, int k)
{
    double result = 1;
    for(var i = 1; i <= k; i++)
    {
        result *= n - (k - i);
        result /= i;
    }
    return result;
}

It does not account for anything happening on the next turn other than the first draw, nor the time of cards being in hand or anything of that nature.

[ZergShadow]

can you explain all numbers and var in formula?cant understand this.

[r3lik]

I too would appreciate it if you explained it a bit more.