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We've been exploring this issue and it's likely due to the high-degree polynomial used in the fitting (polydeg=30) in derive_wifes_calibration(). Fitting a polynomial of such a degree will likely lead to numerical instability and overfitting.
When running run_derive_calib on the test dataset classical_20230922 I get these warnings:
It may be worth investigating these further.
Full output:
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