[Candidate Technology] Use Ensemble Weather Forecasts as inputs

[FrankKr]

Definition of ready:

• Gather ensemble weather data #47

Why/What:
Since very recently, KNMI publishes the Ensemble members of weather forecasts relevant for Solar- and Wind generation. Alliander is building a history of these. Let's explore if they can make the (uncertainty of) forecasts more precise!

E.g. Forecasting the mean, or forecasting extremes, or forecasting the confidence interval
Other thought; forecasting intervals as point in time, or as scenario's?

How:
...

Result:
Comparative analysis.

[woutertromptennet]

Interesting! This has been on our horizon for some time now.

[MartijnCa]

To-do:

• make data gathering issue
• ask KNMI for historical data

If we do not get historical data, this would be more of a full project topic.