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JN.1 Branches #2381

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Fearuncle opened this issue Nov 19, 2023 · 13 comments
Closed
2 tasks done

JN.1 Branches #2381

Fearuncle opened this issue Nov 19, 2023 · 13 comments

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@Fearuncle
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Fearuncle commented Nov 19, 2023

transferred: sars-cov-2-variants/lineage-proposals#987

  • JN.1 + ORF1a:F499L (712)
    image
  • JN.1 + ORF1a:T170I (4424)
    image
@Fearuncle
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Fearuncle commented Nov 27, 2023

image
JN.1 + ORF1a:T170I has a 19% growth advantage over JN.1

@Fearuncle
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JN.1 + ORF1a:T170I now has a growth advantage of 32% over jn.1

@FedeGueli
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JN.1 + ORF1a:T170I now has a growth advantage of 32% over JN.1

Ping @corneliusroemer cc @thomasppeacock @AngieHinrichs @ryhisner
at the start i was thinking this branch with NSP1_T170I was groing due to a founder effect, but a big but now i am starting to notice that this branch WAS 40% of Icelandic JN.1 where it is now dominating.
Curiously it is 30% of sequence in Denamrk where is predicted to take the lead in the next week.
and it 50% of JN.1 in Singapore where Jn.1 got from 0,% to 30% in three weeks.
So while these data are scattered and there are tons of alternative explanations but i think a designation could help.
Having being already splitted with JN.1.1 htat has no advantage i think it would be good to prioritize this one.

@corneliusroemer
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it looks like 499L is deleterious, hence everything else will appear beneficial.

@FedeGueli
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It could be even if this would be the same for all linegaes while it doesnt seem so: https://cov-spectrum.org/collections/188
Schermata 2023-12-01 alle 09 50 29

@Fearuncle
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JN.1 + ORF1a:T170I passed 900 seq.

@Mydtlwn
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Mydtlwn commented Dec 14, 2023

JN.1 +ORF1a:T170I @corneliusroemer

@Fearuncle
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JN.1 +ORF1a:T170I passed 1300 seq.

@Fearuncle
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JN.1+ ORF1a:T170I passed 2000 seq.

@FedeGueli
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JN.1+ ORF1a:T170I passed 2000 seq.

@corneliusroemer ping for branch designation.

@Fearuncle
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passed 3000

@Fearuncle
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passed 4000

@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented Jan 2, 2024

@corneliusroemer orf1a:T170I should be designated consoider that JN.1 is already quite big (22k seqs) and it has 4 sublineages only.

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