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better handle uncertainty when we do weekly rollups for forecast hub submission #21

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mattkinsey opened this issue Jan 2, 2021 · 0 comments
Open

better handle uncertainty when we do weekly rollups for forecast hub submission #21

mattkinsey opened this issue Jan 2, 2021 · 0 comments

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@mattkinsey
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We're currently optimizing the CI's to match daily uncertainty. When we do the weekly sum for submission to reichlab this makes our error bars too large because there is a component of the uncertainty that is time correlated (e.g. no reporting sunday -> high reporting monday).
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@mattkinsey