Skip to content
New issue

Have a question about this project? Sign up for a free GitHub account to open an issue and contact its maintainers and the community.

Sign up for GitHub

By clicking “Sign up for GitHub”, you agree to our terms of service and privacy statement. We’ll occasionally send you account related emails.

Already on GitHub? Sign in to your account

Jump to bottom

docs: add notebook tutorial for improve forecast accuracy #495

Merged
merged 8 commits into from
Oct 15, 2024
Merged

docs: add notebook tutorial for improve forecast accuracy #495

merged 8 commits into from
Oct 15, 2024

Conversation

Yibei990826
Copy link
Contributor

Added notebook tutorial for improve forecast accuracy

@review-notebook-app Review Notebook App
Copy link

Check out this pull request on  ReviewNB

See visual diffs & provide feedback on Jupyter Notebooks.

Powered by ReviewNB

@github-actions GitHub Actions
Copy link
Contributor

github-actions bot commented Oct 15, 2024 •
edited
Loading

Experiment Results

Experiment 1: air-passengers

Description:

variable experiment
h 12
season_length 12
freq MS
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 12.6793 11.0623 47.8333 76
mape 0.027 0.0232 0.0999 0.1425
mse 213.936 199.132 2571.33 10604.2
total_time 11.7283 4.4447 0.0055 0.004

Plot:

Experiment 2: air-passengers

Description:

variable experiment
h 24
season_length 12
freq MS
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 58.1031 58.4587 71.25 115.25
mape 0.1257 0.1267 0.1552 0.2358
mse 4040.22 4110.79 5928.17 18859.2
total_time 2.3729 1.5191 0.0045 0.0041

Plot:

Experiment 3: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 24
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 178.293 268.121 269.23 1331.02
mape 0.0234 0.0311 0.0304 0.1692
mse 121588 219457 213677 4.68961e+06
total_time 1.4938 3.9964 0.0056 0.0052

Plot:

Experiment 4: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 168
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 465.532 346.984 398.956 1119.26
mape 0.062 0.0437 0.0512 0.1583
mse 835120 403787 656723 3.17316e+06
total_time 2.0626 1.2626 0.0057 0.0052

Plot:

Experiment 5: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 336
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 558.649 459.769 602.926 1340.95
mape 0.0697 0.0566 0.0787 0.17
mse 1.22721e+06 739135 1.61572e+06 6.04619e+06
total_time 0.8532 1.5039 0.0059 0.0052

Plot:

@AzulGarza AzulGarza changed the title Doc/edit tutorial faq docs: add notebook tutorial for improve forecast accuracy Oct 15, 2024
@AzulGarza AzulGarza self-requested a review October 15, 2024 23:02
AzulGarza
AzulGarza approved these changes Oct 15, 2024
View reviewed changes
Copy link
Member

@AzulGarza AzulGarza left a comment

Choose a reason for hiding this comment

The reason will be displayed to describe this comment to others. Learn more.

nice, @Yibei990826! lgtm :)

@AzulGarza AzulGarza merged commit 1973303 into main Oct 15, 2024
12 checks passed
@AzulGarza AzulGarza deleted the doc/edit_tutorial_faq branch October 15, 2024 23:03
@AzulGarza AzulGarza mentioned this pull request Oct 16, 2024
Closed
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment
Reviewers

@AzulGarza AzulGarza AzulGarza approved these changes

Assignees

@AzulGarza AzulGarza

Labels
None yet
Projects
None yet
Milestone
No milestone
Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.
2 participants
@Yibei990826 @AzulGarza