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Rel 0.16.0 - Fixes for StanPathfinder example
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### A Pluto.jl notebook ### | ||
# v0.19.37 | ||
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using Markdown | ||
using InteractiveUtils | ||
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# ╔═╡ 5084b8f0-65ac-4704-b1fc-2a9008132bd7 | ||
using Pkg | ||
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# ╔═╡ d7753cf6-7452-421a-a3ec-76e07646f808 | ||
Pkg.activate(expanduser("~/.julia/dev/SR2StanPluto")) | ||
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# ╔═╡ 550371ad-d411-4e66-9d63-7329322c6ea1 | ||
begin | ||
# Specific to this notebook | ||
using StanSample | ||
using StanOptimize | ||
using StanPathfinder | ||
using Distributions | ||
using DataFrames | ||
using CairoMakie | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ eb7ea04a-da52-4e69-ac3e-87dc7f014652 | ||
md"## Pathfinder example" | ||
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# ╔═╡ cf39df58-3371-4535-88e4-f3f6c0404500 | ||
md" ###### Widen the cells." | ||
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# ╔═╡ 0616ece8-ccf8-4281-bfed-9c1192edf88e | ||
html""" | ||
<style> | ||
main { | ||
margin: 0 auto; | ||
max-width: 2000px; | ||
padding-left: max(160px, 10%); | ||
padding-right: max(160px, 15%); | ||
} | ||
</style> | ||
""" | ||
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# ╔═╡ 4755dab0-d228-41d3-934a-56f2863a5652 | ||
md"###### A typical set of Julia packages to include in notebooks." | ||
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# ╔═╡ da214635-a5ff-4c64-8930-683b11bd8531 | ||
bernoulli_model = " | ||
data { | ||
int<lower=1> N; | ||
array[N] int<lower=0,upper=1> y; | ||
} | ||
parameters { | ||
real<lower=0,upper=1> theta; | ||
} | ||
model { | ||
theta ~ beta(1,1); | ||
y ~ bernoulli(theta); | ||
} | ||
"; | ||
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# ╔═╡ 104b926e-5a36-41d7-a587-aeafa7bcd9c5 | ||
data = Dict("N" => 10, "y" => [0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1]); | ||
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# ╔═╡ eb4a78c4-0522-44ae-b3ab-fe489c135026 | ||
md" | ||
!!! note | ||
Keep tmpdir across multiple runs to prevent re-compilation." | ||
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# ╔═╡ 1ae7dd74-40c5-439c-a95c-3d31eecc8d89 | ||
tmpdir = joinpath(pwd(), "tmp") | ||
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# ╔═╡ edfb88bc-a66d-4035-af24-2b06e3253171 | ||
begin | ||
sm = SampleModel("bernoulli_sm", bernoulli_model) | ||
rc_sm = stan_sample(sm; data) | ||
if success(rc_sm) | ||
df_sm = read_samples(sm, :dataframe) | ||
end | ||
describe(df_sm) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ c67f204e-1cbc-4fa9-924f-2d8e4da0cb87 | ||
d_normal = fit(Normal{Float64}, df_sm.theta) | ||
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# ╔═╡ 06fe53e6-bb72-40dc-ac55-4e5cb363f2a3 | ||
d_mle = fit_mle(Normal{Float64}, df_sm.theta) | ||
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# ╔═╡ 9d9e6493-07e4-44aa-8552-f9edc72a4142 | ||
begin | ||
om = OptimizeModel("bernoulli_om", bernoulli_model) | ||
rc_om = stan_optimize(om; data) | ||
if success(rc_om) | ||
map, cnames = read_optimize(om) | ||
end | ||
map | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ cc7174d3-fa01-4ed7-a49e-7cd5ecd6d450 | ||
begin | ||
θ̂ = mean(map["theta"]) | ||
d_map = Normal(θ̂, θ̂ * (1-θ̂)) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ a46d3d38-3c56-4b43-a7ee-57323dbb1e3b | ||
let | ||
global pm2 = PathfinderModel("bernoulli_pf", bernoulli_model) | ||
rc = stan_pathfinder(pm2; data, num_chains=4, save_cmdstan_config=true) | ||
if all(success.(rc)) | ||
a3d, colnames = read_pathfinder(pm2) | ||
global dfa = StanSample.convert_a3d(a3d, colnames, Val(:dataframes)) | ||
end | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ 8b95d355-691a-47a5-8a10-ddac5fb3655a | ||
println(StanPathfinder.cmdline(pm2, 1)) | ||
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# ╔═╡ 886f5fee-07b2-4d7d-a7fd-3805570ce1b1 | ||
log_file=StanBase.log_file_path(pm2.output_base, 1) | ||
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# ╔═╡ c200e687-9967-4ebc-8b7b-6f1a14aadaa2 | ||
sample_file=StanBase.sample_file_path(pm2.output_base, 1) | ||
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# ╔═╡ 98a87e92-be9d-4735-9dba-b3b1d8f313d9 | ||
pm2.num_chains=4 | ||
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# ╔═╡ 60490358-75a0-464e-b1e9-869219ceb2c9 | ||
pm2.num_threads | ||
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# ╔═╡ 037133fa-7c32-4bb7-993a-7251c63885dd | ||
let | ||
str = read(joinpath(pm2.tmpdir, "$(pm2.name)_log_1.log"), String) | ||
findfirst("Path [", str) | ||
str = split(str[findfirst("Path [", str)[1]:end], "\n")[1:end-1] | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ d57e4518-c4ea-41c8-93bf-f34ecf35987c | ||
let | ||
str = read(joinpath(pm2.tmpdir, "$(pm2.name)_log_2.log"), String) | ||
findfirst("Path [", str) | ||
str = split(str[findfirst("Path [", str)[1]:end], "\n")[1:end-1] | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ aa891570-ad41-43d2-81c9-dd4303343f71 | ||
res2 = create_pathfinder_profile_df(pm2) | ||
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# ╔═╡ fcc59e30-c156-42cb-8351-7d54b5c4bee9 | ||
let | ||
f = Figure(; size=(1000, 400)) | ||
pm = PathfinderModel("bernoulli_plot", bernoulli_model) | ||
for i in 1:4 | ||
ax = Axis(f[1, i]; title="Density theta (pathfinder run $i)\n 1000 psis samples") | ||
density!(dfa[i].theta) | ||
end | ||
for i in 1:4 | ||
rc = stan_sample(sm; data) | ||
df_sm2 = read_samples(sm, :dataframe) | ||
ax = Axis(f[2, i]; title="Density theta (mcmc run $i)\n 4000 draws") | ||
density!(df_sm2.theta) | ||
end | ||
f | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ Cell order: | ||
# ╟─eb7ea04a-da52-4e69-ac3e-87dc7f014652 | ||
# ╟─cf39df58-3371-4535-88e4-f3f6c0404500 | ||
# ╠═0616ece8-ccf8-4281-bfed-9c1192edf88e | ||
# ╟─4755dab0-d228-41d3-934a-56f2863a5652 | ||
# ╠═5084b8f0-65ac-4704-b1fc-2a9008132bd7 | ||
# ╠═d7753cf6-7452-421a-a3ec-76e07646f808 | ||
# ╠═550371ad-d411-4e66-9d63-7329322c6ea1 | ||
# ╠═da214635-a5ff-4c64-8930-683b11bd8531 | ||
# ╠═104b926e-5a36-41d7-a587-aeafa7bcd9c5 | ||
# ╟─eb4a78c4-0522-44ae-b3ab-fe489c135026 | ||
# ╠═1ae7dd74-40c5-439c-a95c-3d31eecc8d89 | ||
# ╠═edfb88bc-a66d-4035-af24-2b06e3253171 | ||
# ╠═c67f204e-1cbc-4fa9-924f-2d8e4da0cb87 | ||
# ╠═06fe53e6-bb72-40dc-ac55-4e5cb363f2a3 | ||
# ╠═9d9e6493-07e4-44aa-8552-f9edc72a4142 | ||
# ╠═cc7174d3-fa01-4ed7-a49e-7cd5ecd6d450 | ||
# ╠═a46d3d38-3c56-4b43-a7ee-57323dbb1e3b | ||
# ╠═8b95d355-691a-47a5-8a10-ddac5fb3655a | ||
# ╠═886f5fee-07b2-4d7d-a7fd-3805570ce1b1 | ||
# ╠═c200e687-9967-4ebc-8b7b-6f1a14aadaa2 | ||
# ╠═98a87e92-be9d-4735-9dba-b3b1d8f313d9 | ||
# ╠═60490358-75a0-464e-b1e9-869219ceb2c9 | ||
# ╠═037133fa-7c32-4bb7-993a-7251c63885dd | ||
# ╠═d57e4518-c4ea-41c8-93bf-f34ecf35987c | ||
# ╠═aa891570-ad41-43d2-81c9-dd4303343f71 | ||
# ╠═fcc59e30-c156-42cb-8351-7d54b5c4bee9 |
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